So this morning, I got curious to see what the 2016 primary results in the city of Chicago could tell us about Wisconsin. I imagine the Milwaukee voters are similar to Chicago and this could potentially give us an insight to how Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton will do in that city. Listening to the pundits, Milwaukee appears to be a critical area of Wisconsin for Hillary Clinton, and for her to win the state, she will need to perform well in the city.
Even though Clinton won Illinois, it was a very close result, and Bernie Sanders out performed expectations. The expectations were raised significantly after his win in Michigan, but before Michigan no one expected Sanders to come close to Clinton. But Sanders nearly tied Clinton and it was very close to a tie.
The reason that Illinois was so close is Clinton under-performed in the city of Chicago. Looking at the results for the city, which can be found at the Chicago Board of Elections website, Clinton came in with 53.74% vs Sander at 45.27%. Clinton should have had a
significantly higher result in Chicago if we believe the conventional wisdom that Sanders doesn’t do well with minority. Per the 2010 Census, in the city of Chicago, African-Americans, and Latino-Americans make up just over 60% of the population, which are considered to be stronger supporters of Hillary Clinton than Bernie Sanders. So just based on this, Clinton should have had a greater advantage in Chicago than her results.
If there is anything that should get Democrats excited this year is the prospect that Donald Trump is going to end up being the Republican Presidential nominee. I cannot think of a candidate that provides a greater contrast between the Republican Tea Party and Democrats when it comes to policy and the ability to govern. Nominating Donald Trump will be an implosion of a political party that has not been seen in modern US politics.
Every Democrat running for almost any office will be able to point to Trump and run against him instead of their actual opponent this November. The argument will be simple for November, “Do you trust a party that selected Trump as the their best candidate? ” Continue reading
After the past few weeks, everything I see Hillary Clinton or one of her surrogates on speaking with the media, they are always slamming Bernie Sanders as a “single issue” candidate. And while Sanders does rally his supporters with income inequality has his top priority, he clear on many other issues and frequently discusses them (i.e. health care, climate change, Citizens United, education, immigration, etc.) Continue reading
After a week of accusing George Bush for lying about WMD’s and the pretext for the Iraq war. Blaming Bush for being a sleep and allowing the September 11th attacks to happen. Getting into an argument with the Pope (really?) Trump still managed to win South Carolina by 10%.
It looks like attacking everything that Republicans hold dear is a strategy for winning the Republican nomination, and if tonight has taught us anything, it’s Donald Trump is the clear front runner, but Marco Rubio will be the candidate that the “establishment” rallies around. Continue reading
A big blow to Bernie Sanders and his chances for winning the Democratic nomination for 2016, Hillary Clinton is projected to be the winner of the Nevada Caucuses by various media organizations.
While this will not mark the end of the Bernie campaign, this could very likely be the beginning of the end. Although I support Bernie, I do believe he has too many obstacles to overcome to become the nominee for the Democratic party. Continue reading
Welcome to my blog, after being an obsessed observer of politics for most of my life, I made a decision that 2016 might be a good time to start sharing some of my views, analysis, and thoughts on the subject.
I believe I have a unique perspective based on my life experiences, and think some people might find it interesting.